I actually try to predict the winners in the television categories at the Golden Globes

The Golden Globes is an important awards ceremony because it’s the first big awards show in the lead-up to the Oscars. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) also have television categories, but television is still seen as second class to film, and last year there was much ado about the fact that it took anyone who won a television award at least two minutes to reach the stage, and then they barely got to make a speech. As suggested in the title, I’m going to try and predict the winners for the television categories, because I’ve seen more television than I have film. Onto the nominees!

Best Television Series – Drama

  • Downton Abbey
  • The Affair
  • Game of Thrones
  • House of Cards
  • The Good Wife

2014 Winner: Breaking Bad
I don’t know what’s going to happen with this one. The Good Wife, Downton Abbey and House of Cards were nominated last year, and The Affair and Game of Thrones are replacing Masters of Sex and Breaking Bad. My heart says The Good Wife, but Game of Thrones is the biggest show on television and House of Cards keeps getting nominated for some reason. Of these shows Downton Abbey is the only one to have one a major award, the Primetime Emmy Award for ‘Best Television Miniseries or Movie’, along with a Television Critics Association (TCA) award in the same category. Of the remaining shows, The Good Wife and Game of Thrones have both been awarded ‘Outstanding Achievement in Drama’, and Game of Thrones has also been awarded ‘Program of the Year’ by the TCAs. I’m going for The Good Wife, even if it’s only because I want it to win.

Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama

  • Viola Davis, How to Get Away With Murder
  • Claire Danes, Homeland
  • Julianna Marguiles, The Good Wife
  • Robin Wright, House of Cards
  • Ruth Wilson, The Affair

2014 Winner: Robin Wright, House of Cards
Both Wright and Marguiles have won the Golden Globe for their current roles previously. I don’t know how much HFPA is like the Emmys in that they’ll just give a movie star appearing in a television show the award because they’re in movies. If they are, I’d say Viola Davis is a shoo-in, but I think HFPA’s history of awarding actresses who have just come onto their radar means that Ruth Wilson is winning this one.

Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

  • Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
  • Clive Owen, The Knick
  • James Spader, The Blacklist
  • Dominic West, The Affair
  • Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan

2014 Winner: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
I haven’t seen The Blacklist, The Affair or Ray Donovan, which makes this category fairly difficult. I hated Clive Owen’s character on The Knick, but you were supposed to, and I’m happy it has some awards love. I think Spacey is over-acting in House of Cards (my dislike for the show is pretty well known), so I’d give it to Owen by default. I’d also really like it if Dominic West won, because it would be fantastic recognition for all the great work he did on The Wire, but I’m going to go with Spader, just on a hunch. I guess the disappointment of this category is that there were so many stellar performances last year (I’d give it to Jon Hamm in a heartbeat) that I’m not really excited about any of the nominees except for Owen.

Best Television Series – Musical or Comedy

  • Orange Is the New Black
  • Girls
  • Jane the Virgin
  • Transparent
  • Silicon Valley

2014 Winner: Brooklyn Nine-Nine
I’m surprised Brooklyn Nine-Nine wasn’t nominated this year; it’s evolved into a much better show than it was when it won last year. That being said, this is a really good category. The only one of these shows I haven’t seen more than one episode of is Transparent, and that’s because it’s not legally available in Australia yet. I was able to watch the pilot on Amazon during the voting process, and it’s one of the best pilots I’ve ever seen. So of the other four shows in the category, my heart really wants Orange Is the New Black, as much as I love Jane the Virgin, and I would be okay if Silicon Valley won too. I think it will be Transparent, but I really have no idea. Just as a comparison, here is the list of the 2014 Emmy nominees for ‘Best Comedy Series’: Modern Family, The Big Bang Theory, Louie, Orange Is the New Black, Silicon Valley, Veep. That’s not a bad list of nominees, but I know a show I actually like (even if my love for Girls has waned), or will like, is going to win, and that’s exciting.

Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
  • Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
  • Gina Rodriguez, Jane the Virgin
  • Lena Dunham, Girls
  • Taylor Schilling, Orange Is the New Black

2014 Winner: Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Once again, I’m happy with all these nominees. I haven’t seen Nurse Jackie, but Edie Falco is one of the most interesting parts of The Sopranos, so I’d be okay if she won, strangely enough. I think Taylor Schilling is in with a chance for OITNB, but I think (and hope) Gina Rodriguez has this locked up. The HFPA has, as I stated earlier, awarded the shiny new actress, including Jennifer Garner for her amazing work on Alias (her film career has been a letdown, but that’s another post), and Kerry Russel on Felicity, another J.J. Abrams show.

Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

  • Don Cheadle, House of Lies
  • William H. Macy, Shameless
  • Ricky Gervais, Derek
  • Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent
  • Louis C.K., Louie

2014 winner: Andy Samberg, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
It turns out that none of the winners in last year’s comedy categories was even nominated this year. We only have one carry-over in drama, but that’s because last year’s Globes were the beginning of the last hurrah for Breaking Bad. I’m going to go for Jeffrey Tambor because his work in Transparent is the most interesting on this list. I love Louis C.K., but his acting isn’t why I watch Louie. As far as Shameless goes, I find it baffling that William H. Macy can get nominations for the show’s transition from the drama to comedy category, but Emmy Rossum can’t.

Best Television Movie or Miniseries

  • Olive Kitteridge
  • Fargo
  • The Missing
  • True Detective
  • The Normal Heart

Last year’s winners aren’t as important for the miniseries categories even though anthology series like Fargo, True Detective and American Horror Story are competing in the miniseries category. Fargo and True Detective have just completed their first seasons, and AHS didn’t win last year. Truthfully I have no idea what’s going to win, but I want it to be FargoTrue Detective could win now that it has transitioned from the drama category into miniseries (and it’s slightly surprising that OITNB didn’t change from comedy to drama after last year’s Emmys), but once people saw Fargo, they pretty much forgot about True Detective.

Best Actress in a Miniseries or Television Movie

  • Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Freak Show
  • Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Honourable Woman
  • Frances McDormand, Olive Kitteridge
  • Allison Tolman, Fargo
  • Frances O’Connor, The Missing

What I like the most about this category is that Allison Tolman and Frances McDormand, who played the female detective role on the television and movie versions of Fargo are both in this category. Gyllenhaal is also very good in The Honourable Woman, but I’m hoping HFPA’s love for young actresses gets Tolman over the line.

Best Actor in a Miniseries or Television Movie

  • Martin Freeman, Fargo
  • Matthew McConaughey, True Detective
  • Woody Harrelson, True Detective
  • Billy Bob Thornton, Fargo
  • Mark Ruffalo, The Normal Heart

People saw McConaughey’s performance in True Detective last year and decided to vote for him at the Oscars, so I think he’s a shoo-in for this category. I don’t have any particular preferences, so I’m just going to leave it at that.

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries or Television Movie

  • Kathy Bates, American Horror Story: Freak Show
  • Uzo Aduba, Orange Is the New Black
  • Joanne Froggatt, Downton Abbey
  • Michelle Monaghan, True Detective
  • Allison Janney, Mom

This is a completely different set of nominees from last year, and though I enjoy Janney’s work on Mom, I’m going to go with Uzo Aduba because her performance is just one of many fantastic performances on OITNB and I’d love for that show to be rewarded.

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries or Television Movie

  • Bill Murray, Olive Kitteridge
  • Jon Voight, Ray Donovan
  • Matt Bomer, The Normal Heart
  • Alan Cumming, The Good Wife
  • Colin Hanks, Fargo

2014 winner: Jon Voight, Ray Donovan
Once again, aside from last year’s winner, we have a completely different set of nominees. I’m going for Hanks because his relationship with Tolman in Fargo is pretty much the cutest thing I saw on television last year.

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